A Mathematical Framework for Assessing Public Health Interventions During Epidemic Outbreaks

Author: Jane Alam, Dr. A. B.Chandramouli & Dr. G. Ravindra Babu

DOI Link: https://doi.org/10.70798/Bijmrd/02110026

Abstract: Epidemic outbreaks pose severe threats to public health, economic stability, and social systems worldwide. The rapid spread of infectious diseases such as COVID-19, Ebola, influenza, and emerging zoonotic infections highlights the critical need for evidence-based public health decision-making. Mathematical modeling has emerged as a powerful tool to understand disease dynamics, forecast epidemic trajectories, and evaluate the effectiveness of public health interventions. This article presents a comprehensive mathematical framework for assessing public health interventions during epidemic outbreaks. It integrates classical compartmental models, intervention parameters, vaccination strategies, non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs), and optimal control theory. The framework supports policymakers in designing, implementing, and evaluating intervention strategies to minimize disease burden while optimizing resource allocation.

Keywords: Epidemic Modeling, Public Health Interventions, Mathematical Framework, Sir Model, Vaccination, Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions, Optimal Control.

Page No: 229-238